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ISEA Employment Report

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Job Numbers in California Keep Growing

Rapid and widespread job growth appears in Silicon Valley and Bay Area; Inland Empire and San Diego County Show Continuous Improvement

This month, ISEA study finds year-over-year job growth in California continues. Significant job growth in Northern California has concentrated in the coastal areas including Santa Rosa, San Francisco, San Jose, and Salinas. Job numbers in Fairfield, Stockton, and the western area of Fresno grow steadily. Yuba City, Merced, and Madera are still shedding jobs this month. On the other hand, moderate to significant job growth has covered almost the whole region in Southern California with only a few scattered small locations remaining in the idling status or slightly shedding jobs. The Inland Empire region, San Diego County, and Bakersfield area have seen further improvement with more areas showing significant job growth this month; while half of the area of Ventura County is still idling or shedding jobs.

The overall month-over-month job growth in Southern California does not look very promising compared with June 2012. Except for Bakersfield and San Diego County, the whole region has fallen back to the idling status with quite a few scattered areas shedding jobs. The small area around Perris and the small pocket in the south of Palm Springs, where had shown significant job growth last month, have seen more than 3% job losses this month. The overall month-over-month job growth in Northern California has experienced the same pattern where most areas have stepped back to the idling status with a few locations in Stockton, Modesto, Visalia, and Santa Cruz even showing moderate to significant job losses this month. Only a few small areas including Yuba City, Nevada City, southern Sacramento, and scattered pockets in Central Valley have still seen moderate job increase in July.

 

Year-over-Year Metro Market Findings in Southern California

INLAND EMPIRE

  • The year-over-year job growth in Riverside and San Bernardino Counties has further improved this month by adding more areas to the dark green zone (more than 3% job increase).
  • Most areas in the central locations in the Inland region continue to see significant job growth (more than 3%). In addition, a few more areas such as central locations in Palm Springs, Twentynine Palms, and Sedco Hills have started showing more than 3% job growth this month. However, still a few small pockets appear idling this month including the small area near Canyon Lake, Joshua Tree, West End, and a small location in the city of San Bernardino.

LOS ANGELES COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in Los Angeles County still appears patchy, i.e. areas showing moderate job increases (1% to 3%) or significant job growth (more than 3%) are next to the areas showing idling (-1% to 1%).
  • Scattered locations including La Verne, Rowland Heights, Downey, Whittier, Cerritos, Calabasas, eastern Santa Clarita, and areas near South Pasadena, Pasadena, Burbank, Beverly Hills (although the dark green zone (more than 3% job growth) around this region have shrunk this month), have still seen significant job growth this month; in addition, Azusa has started showing significant job growth this month; the area east to Palmdale, San Fernando, and the center area of the county still appear the idling status (-1% to 1%) this month.

ORANGE COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in Orange County has continued this month with an average job increase of 2.01%.
  • The whole county still appears green this month except for Buena Park and the area between Atwood and Villa Park still remaining in the yellow zone (-1% to 1% job growth). Orange, Garden Grove, Huntington Beach, and San Clemente have slowed the job increase speed this month by switching from significant job growth (more than 3%) to moderate job growth (1% to 3%); significant job growth (more than 3%) still appear in the following areas: Los Alamitos, La Palma, Fullerton, Yorba Linda, Anaheim, Rossmoor, Tustin, Irvine, New Port Beach, large area between Irvine and Emerald Bay, Laguna Beach, South Laguna, San Juan Capistrano, Portola Hills and the narrow and long area east to it.

SAN DIEGO COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in San Diego County has improved to a great extent with most areas in the county showing moderate job growth (1% to 3%) and even more areas showing significant job growth (more than 3%) this month.
  • There are more areas showing significant job growth (more than 3%) this month compared to June including the area south to Escondido, Oceanside, Leucadia, Ramona, Alpine, Vista, Bonita, Imperial Beach, Jamul, the area north to downtown San Diego, a large area along I-15 in the middle of the county, and a large region between Lemon Grove and Eucalyptus Hills; however, a few pockets including San Luis Rey, area east to Carlsbad, , area eat to Escondido, area west to Coronado, and the area close the south border still appear idling (-1% to 1% job growth) this month.

METHODOLOGY

The researchers combined today’s data release on employment by industry from the California Employment Development Department with business pattern data by Zip code and industry from the U.S. Census Bureau to arrive at their projected values. The researchers point out that, given the data available to them, their projected values are only rough approximations of the true values, and that accuracy is higher for counties with larger populations. Despite those shortcomings, the observed patterns should still be helpful for decision makers in politics, businesses and organizations to determine where to best direct their efforts.

About the Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis

The Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis (ISEA) serves regional, national and global business and government leaders in their needs to better understand how socio-economic phenomena affect their communities. A division of the University of Redlands School of Business, ISEA publishes ongoing, timely reports covering retail, employment, housing, logistics and other special topics. A key distinction is its ability to illustrate economic trends and patterns through the use of geo-spatial mapping techniques. In addition, ISEA’s ability to provide Zip code level analysis for many of its reports provides unprecedented detail. Current ISEA economic data and interactive maps may be found at ISEA.


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