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ISEA Employment Report

ISEA

Job Numbers in California Grow Steadily

Inland Empire deepens; San Diego County is still lagging behind but recovering

This month, ISEA study finds year-over-year job growth in Southern California continues where evenly widespread moderate job growth still appears in Los Angeles County and Orange County. Job growth in Inland Empire deepens with large scattered areas showing significant job growth. San Diego County has improved further this month spreading moderate job growth to the northern area in the county although locations near the north edge still shedding jobs. Northern California has not changed much this month where Silicon Valley, Stockton, and Fairfield still lead the pack with significant job growth; the surrounding areas of Sacramento and Yorba City show idling status with a few pockets shedding jobs this month.

The overall month-over-month job growth in Southern California has improved this month. Scattered areas including inland region in San Diego County, coastal areas in Orange County, Santa Barbara, and a few pockets in Inland Empire, Bakersfield, and El Centro have seen moderate job growth this month compared to last month only San Luis Obispo had shown moderate job growth. The overall month-over-month job growth in Northern California has shown more green areas with almost no locations shedding jobs this month. Silicon Valley, Sacramento, and the Bay Area have continued slacking off where almost the whole area shows idling status this month. Santa Cruz, Salinas and Visalia continue showing steady job growth this month. In addition, the green areas have spread to Santa Rosa, Fresno, Modesto, and Napa this month.

Year-over-Year Metro Market Findings in Southern California

INLAND EMPIRE

  • The year-over-year job growth in Riverside and San Bernardino Counties has improved to a great extent this month with more areas showing moderate job growth (1% to 3%) and even better quite a few locations showing significant job growth (more than 3%).
  • In addition to Adelanto, Glen Avon, the area west to Blue Jay, and the area east to Woodcrest, a few other locations have been added to the significant job growth (more than 3%) list this month including area from Rialto through Highland, Fontana, area south to Colton, Pedley, Edgemont, Corona, El Cerrito, Perris, Romoland, Palm Desert, and a large area between El Cerrito and Alberhill; however Crafton and El Casco are still shedding jobs (-3% to -1%) this month.

LOS ANGELES COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in Los Angeles County is still similar to last month with even more patchy pattern, i.e. areas showing moderate job increases (1% to 3%) or significant job growth (more than 3%) are next to the areas showing idling (-1% to 1%).
  • La Verne, Downey, South Pasadena, Burbank, area west to Beverly Hills, and the area west to Cerritos continue showing significant job growth (more than 3%) this month; in addition, east area to Santa Clarita and Calabasas have seen significant job growth (more than 3%) this month as well; the area east to Palmdale, Cerritos, and a small spot south to Los Angeles, where had seen moderate job loss (-1% to -3%) last month, have changed to the idling status (-1% to 1%) this month.

ORANGE COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in Orange County has continued this month (1.93% job increase) with more areas added to the dark green zone (more than 3% job growth).
  • The whole county still appears green this month except for the three areas including the northeastern corner of the county, area between Fullerton and Buena Park, and the area between Atwood and Villa Park, still remaining in the yellow zone (-1% to 1% job growth); in addition, a few large areas have started showing significant job growth (more than 3%) this month including Los Alamitos and Rossmoor area, Tustin, large area between Irvine and Emerald Bay, Laguna Beach, San Juan Capistrano, Portola Hills and the narrow and long area east to it.

SAN DIEGO COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in San Diego County has shown steady growing (1% job increase) with more light green areas (1% to 3% moderate job growth) and less yellow zones (idling status of -1% to 1% job growth).
  • Moderate job growth (1% to 3%) has expanded to the northern area of the county including Vista, Jesmond Dene, Del Mar, Ramona, Eucalyptus Hills and Moreno area; even better, Lemon Grove has started showing significant job growth (more than 3%) this month; however, area east to Escondido has started shedding jobs (1% to 3% job losses) this month; the other two locations San Luis Rey and Coronado still remain in the orange zone (1% to 3% job losses) this month.

METHODOLOGY

The researchers combined today’s data release on employment by industry from the California Employment Development Department with business pattern data by Zip code and industry from the U.S. Census Bureau to arrive at their projected values. The researchers point out that, given the data available to them, their projected values are only rough approximations of the true values, and that accuracy is higher for counties with larger populations. Despite those shortcomings, the observed patterns should still be helpful for decision makers in politics, businesses and organizations to determine where to best direct their efforts.

About the Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis
The Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis (ISEA) serves regional, national and global business and government leaders in their needs to better understand how socio-economic phenomena affect their communities. A division of the University of Redlands School of Business, ISEA publishes ongoing, timely reports covering retail, employment, housing, logistics and other special topics. A key distinction is its ability to illustrate economic trends and patterns through the use of geo-spatial mapping techniques. In addition, ISEA’s ability to provide Zip code level analysis for many of its reports provides unprecedented detail. Current ISEA economic data and interactive maps may be found at www.isea.redlands.edu.


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