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ISEA Jobs Report

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ISEA Jobs Report

Northern California Mirrors Last Month; San Diego County Slows Down 

For the month of August, this ISEA study finds the overall year-over-year job growth in California still continues. Northern California almost mirrors last month where the coastal areas including Santa Rosa, San Francisco, San Jose, Salinas, Fairfield, and Stockton still show more than 3% significant job growth, while Yuba City, Merced, and Madera still shed jobs this month. In addition, Napa shows significant job loss this month. Job growth in Fresno and Santa Cruz has slowed down compared to July. On the other hand, most areas in Southern California still appear moderate to significant job growth with a slightly slower speed compared to July. Job growth in San Diego County and Bakersfield area has slowed down this month showing moderate job increase with a few scattered small locations remaining in the idling status or slightly shedding jobs; while half of the area of Ventura County still remains idling status.

The overall month-over-month job growth in Southern California still appears yellow i.e. almost the whole region is still idling except for El Centro, a small area in Bakersfield, and a few scattered locations in Los Angeles County are showing moderate job increase. A small area around Perris, a small pocket in the south of Palm Springs, southwestern area in Ventura County, and a small pocket in the south of Bakersfield have seen 1% to 3% moderate job losses this month. Some scattered areas in San Diego County that had seen moderate job growth last month have fallen back to the idling status in August. The overall month-over-month job growth in Northern California has slightly improved in August with the B showing moderate to significant job growth, especially Stockton and Modesto, where had shown significant job losses last month, have started adding jobs this month. The surrounding area of Sacramento and Yuba City area still show moderate job growth. The coastal area, central locations of Sacramento, Fresno, and Visalia remain idling status while Napa and Santa Cruz are even shedding jobs this month.

Year-over-Year Metro Market Findings in Southern California

INLAND EMPIRE

  •  The year-over-year job growth in Riverside and San Bernardino Counties has continued this month with an average job increase of 2.3%.
  • Most areas in the central locations in the Inland region continue to see significant job growth (more than 3%). Twentynine Palms and the central area of Victorville have slowed down only showing moderate job growth (1% to 3%)) this month. A few small pockets still appear idling this month including a small location in the city of San Bernardino, Crafton, and El Casco.

LOS ANGELES COUNTY

  •  The year-over-year job growth in Los Angeles County has continued as well with an average job increase of 2.0%, although the patchy pattern still appears. For example, some areas are showing moderate job increases (1% to 3%) or significant job growth (more than 3%) and those are next to the areas showing idling (-1% to 1%).
  • Scattered locations including La Verne, Rowland Heights, Azusa, Downey, Whittier, Cerritos, Calabasas, eastern Santa Clarita, and areas near South Pasadena, Pasadena, Burbank, Beverly Hills have seen significant job growth in August; in addition, Santa Monica, the western area to Lancaster, the northern area to Santa Clarita, and a large area between Burbank and Altadena have started showing significant job growth in August. The area east to Palmdale, San Fernando, and the center area of the county still appear the idling status (-1% to 1%); in addition, the western area to Santa Clarita, where had seen moderate job growth (1% to 3%) last month, has stepped back to the idling status.

ORANGE COUNTY

  • The year-over-year job growth in Orange County has still shown the steady pattern this month with an average job increase of 2.1%. 
  • The whole county still appears green this month except for Buena Park and the area between Atwood and Villa Park still remaining in the yellow zone (-1% to 1% job growth). Significant job growth (more than 3%) still appear in the following areas: Los Alamitos, La Palma, Fullerton, Yorba Linda, Anaheim, Rossmoor, Tustin, Irvine, Newport Beach, large area between Irvine and Emerald Bay, Laguna Beach, South Laguna, San Juan Capistrano, Portola Hills and the narrow and long area east to it. In addition, Dana Point and Cypress have been added to the dark green zone (more than 3% job growth).

SAN DIEGO COUNTY

  •  The year-over-year job growth in San Diego County has slowed down this month with the average job increase dropping from 2.81% last month to 2.4% this month. 
  • The whole county appears a more even pattern with most areas in the county showing moderate job growth (1% to 3%) and a few scattered locations showing significant job growth (more than 3%) such as Alpine, Lemon Grove, Imperial Beach, the area north to downtown San Diego, Coronado, and the area at the corner of I-15 and I-8. However a few pockets including San Luis Rey, area east to Carlsbad, area east to Escondido, and the area close the south border still appear idling status (-1% to 1% job growth) this month.

METHODOLOGY

The researchers combined today’s data release on employment by industry from the California Employment Development Department with business pattern data by Zip code and industry from the U.S. Census Bureau to arrive at their projected values. The researchers point out that, given the data available to them, their projected values are only rough approximations of the true values, and that accuracy is higher for counties with larger populations. Despite those shortcomings, the observed patterns should still be helpful for decision makers in politics, businesses and organizations to determine where to best direct their efforts.

About the Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis at University of Redlands

The Institute for Spatial Economic Analysis (ISEA) serves regional, national and global business and government leaders in their needs to better understand how socio-economic phenomena affect their communities. A division of the University of Redlands School of Business, ISEA publishes ongoing, timely reports covering retail, employment, housing, logistics and other special topics. A key distinction is its ability to illustrate economic trends and patterns through the use of geo-spatial mapping techniques. In addition, ISEA’s ability to provide Zip code level analysis for many of its reports provides unprecedented detail. Current ISEA economic data and interactive maps may be found at http://isea.redlands.edu/.

Media Contact:
Johannes Moenius
909-557-8161
isea@redlands.edu


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